Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.182833 0.204462 0.226952 0.252027 0.279147 0.307541 0.339458
2025-01-19 0.152013 0.181151 0.212859 0.249743 0.291281 0.336424 0.389005
2025-01-26 0.132010 0.166288 0.205083 0.251844 0.306273 0.367225 0.440223
2025-02-02 0.119189 0.157735 0.202885 0.258995 0.326148 0.403232 0.497662
2025-02-09 0.105663 0.146670 0.196308 0.259788 0.337729 0.429222 0.543590
2025-02-16 0.096266 0.139584 0.193601 0.264456 0.353419 0.459881 0.595264
2025-02-23 0.089712 0.135364 0.193838 0.272289 0.372734 0.494956 0.652681
2025-03-02 0.080102 0.126129 0.186784 0.270100 0.378944 0.513649 0.690074
2025-03-09 0.072693 0.119171 0.182074 0.270369 0.387849 0.535474 0.731383
2025-03-16 0.065615 0.112009 0.176478 0.268912 0.394091 0.553701 0.768175
2025-03-23 0.061601 0.108916 0.176178 0.274368 0.409328 0.583504 0.819975
2025-03-30 0.056447 0.103645 0.172384 0.274648 0.417393 0.603930 0.859866
2025-04-06 0.051475 0.098384 0.168461 0.274782 0.425557 0.625102 0.901815
2025-04-13 0.046538 0.092724 0.163547 0.273154 0.431068 0.642707 0.939280
2025-04-20 0.043169 0.089318 0.161764 0.275870 0.442562 0.668422 0.987796
2025-04-27 0.041319 0.088301 0.163538 0.283804 0.461535 0.704538 1.050714
2025-05-04 0.038095 0.084599 0.160835 0.284811 0.470479 0.726972 1.095470
2025-05-11 0.036003 0.082716 0.160884 0.289906 0.485353 0.757746 1.151901
2025-05-18 0.034731 0.082214 0.163108 0.298355 0.505248 0.795767 1.218715
2025-05-25 0.031549 0.077822 0.158608 0.296040 0.509049 0.811160 1.254541
2025-06-01 0.029108 0.074617 0.155886 0.296346 0.516646 0.831917 1.297952
2025-06-08 0.026572 0.070964 0.152147 0.294793 0.521278 0.848397 1.335506
2025-06-15 0.025387 0.069964 0.152974 0.300647 0.537263 0.881354 1.396517